They are telling us that, after months of horrendous news, hints of a return to economic stability created sustained euphoria during last week’s market run-up. The word sustained is used loosely here…it means more than one day. Some large and previously battered financial companies, namely Citibank, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase reported that were profitable during the first two months of the year. And, investors all over the globe, who are still licking their wounds after being pummeled by the same market that ruthlessly hacked their personal wealth, now want to quickly make up their losses by getting back on the same airplane that essentially crashed in stormy weather.
Well, maybe it’s time for a sanity check. Have you ever talked with someone who lived through the Great Depression? If you ever get a chance to do so, it’s enlightening. My dad, who was 7 years old in 1929 was the son of a very prosperous retailer, Walter Wolff , whose department store occupied nearly an entire city block in downtown St. Louis. My dad clearly remembers housekeepers, nannies and drivers…in other words, a very privileged life. And from his recollection, it was all gone in a day.
It’s interesting that once a commercial pilot qualifies for his or her license that, from that point forward, about 80% of their training time is spent on simulating emergencies and only 20% on normal flying activities. Maybe it’s time that instead of blindly jumping back into the market on the first and maybe fleeting bit of good news, that we consider the lessons learned over the past 14 months and compose a more “all weather” plan. The airplane we call the stock market may be capable transportation for very long distances but, as we have found, for shorter journeys, not so much.
I think that the stimulus package have helped a lot in restoring the economy. right now we can see some improvements in the economy. right now we can see some improvements in the eco-`*