Several significant trends are signaling a reset of how families plan and think about college costs. The evidence suggests that creative solutions will be required as key economic factors are conspiring to make a college degree financially more elusive.
Let’s look at the new realities of saving for higher education:
- Trend # 1 – College costs are spiking due to reduced funding
College costs have traditionally escalated 5%-6% per year already doubling the normal rate of inflation. But now in many States, budget shortfalls have taken fees increases to a new level.California is a particularly dramatic example. University of California Regents will soon vote on a 32% fee increase which is in addition to last year’s nearly 10% fee hike. This story is being repeated in varying degrees throughout the country.
- Trend #2 – Growth expectations of college savings accounts have been unrealized
According to the Boston consulting firm Financial Research, the value of 529 college-savings accounts sank 21% last year. For many families whose son or daughter was on the verge of starting school, this loss could easily represent a year or more of college funding.While the investment world may suggest that 2009’s year to date market recovery supports remaining in the market, many burned college savers are reluctant. A look at market history suggests that their hesitancy may be well founded. In the last 100 years there have never been two significant downturns as close together as the 2000-2003 tech bubble and 2008’s global meltdown. Especially for those families whose kids are already in their teens, the prospect of another near term sell-off is a chance not worth taking.
- Trend # 3 – Parents are saving less for college
Even before the downturn parents were struggling to save for college. A 2007 study by Sallie Mae, the country’s largest source of funds for higher education, found that parents of high school children applying for college had saved less than half of what they needed to cover the expected expenses. What’s more, one in five hadn’t saved anything at all.In May of this year, in another survey released by Sallie Mae, 47% of parents reported saving less or aren’t saving at all for their kids’ education due to the current economic crisis.
While the points listed above may feel like the obstacles are growing insurmountable, there are ways to be proactive in this tough environment. And remember, while there are varying opinions of how much a college degree is worth over a career, there is little debate that it remains a solid investment.
So while a college degree may be more difficult to pay for in the future, here are some strategies to pull it off:
- Make college planning a family affair – get grandparents and other willing extended family members in the game. Anyone can make a contribution to a 529 Plan and rather than giving something that will end up at next year’s garage sale, have them contribute to the college account.
- Use Conservative Asset Growth Projections and Allocations – Obviously stock market exposure is more tolerable the longer you have before your student reaches college. That being said, it may be more realistic and comfortable in today’s world to position college assets for a 6% or 7% long term return as opposed to a 9% or 10% return.
- Manage Expectations – Young people are very resourceful if they need to be. Let your kids know in their junior high years that getting through college will be a team effort and everyone will be required to pitch in, including them. My son’s college roommate knew well in advance that his parents could only afford a total of $10,000 for college costs. By holding down a couple of jobs he graduated with an engineering degree with minimal outstanding loans and somehow seemed to have a smile on his face in the process.
- Consider a Low Cost General Ed Track – Employers typically don’t care where a candidate started their degree, but rather where it was finished. By taking transferable community college courses before moving to the graduation school of choice, overall education costs can be significantly reduced. Among other benefits, this allows both you and your student two more years to save.